The domesticforeign pesticide markets keeps rising
updated at 2012-10-12 Click:

According to the forecast of national agricultural technology promotion center, crop diseases and insect pests show a serious trend over the country in 2012 with an infectious area of 5.5 billion mu increasing by 4 compared with that of the same period last year. The occurrence of "two moving" pests in rice, corn borer and other pests is more serious than that of 2011 on the whole. It exists wide spread threat of rice blast in the northeast and the southwest rice fields and potato late blight in the southwest high risk area and the northwest permanent area. According to the forecast of national agricultural technology promotion center, the occurrence of rice planthopper is about 0.4 billion mu in 2012 increasing by 11 compared with that of 2011. Rice planthopper can be prevented and controlled by pesticides including nitenpyram, pymetrozine, imidacloprid, chlorpyrifos, malathion, ethofenprox, etc. In addition to insect pest, rice will greatly need pyrazosulfuron-ethyl and hexaconazole and other pesticides because of crop smothering and disease. On the whole, national pesticide market demand will still maintain a strong trend in the next half year especially the third quarter, influenced by disease and insect disasters.

Taking advantage of export opportunities, our export value of pesticides reached $0.99 billion in January-April and favorable balance of trade reached $ 0.759 billion in pesticide industry. Because of favorable weather conditions, the cultivated area in North America andLatin Americaincreases, which will promote the demand of pesticide in the next half year. Lasting drought in South America takes a negative impact on sales growth, but the demand of fluorine insect nitrile insecticide inSouth Americakeeps a strong momentum.

Under dual functions of profitable market and favorable policies, the export of insecticide, acaricide like imidacloprid, pymetrozine, nitenpyram, fipronil, butyl ether and other technical materials will keep a strong momentum in the second half year; the export of herbicide pyrazosulfuron-ethyl, 2, 4-d series and others will also increase in the next half year, and domestic pesticide industry will usher in an export busy season.

To grasp the storage opportunity in off season, there is a "hidden rule" in pesticide technical material market ofChina, which takes "national pesticide exchange meeting" held in October as a watershed. National technical material procurement is in a wait-and-see period before October, and enterprises producing technical material will unveil storage policy in off season to attract customer resources after October. Therefore, November and December provide a good opportunity for technical material enterprises to produce and market their products, and for preparation enterprises and traders to procure products in low price by cash or advance charge. All parties shouldn't give up easily and should strive for a small strong sales peak of "off-season".

Some pesticide products will take on an excellent performance in the next half year depending on varieties. First, glyphosate is still in shortage. The price fluctuates in a high position as supply falls short of demand, meanwhile the price of upstream raw materials like glycin, yellow phosphorus, etc is cut down, which guarantees profit margins of main manufacturers of glyphosate. Secondly, the price of emamectin benzoate can still be increased. The price of Avermectin powder rises obviously and supply can't meet demand, which results in that many emamectin benzoate manufacturers operate under production and have a small inventory. Therefore, the price rises correspondingly. Thirdly, nitenpyram is worth our attention. The export of nitenpyram is much better than last year and the export volume of 10SL, 50WP, 95TC and other forms increase substantially. Fourthly, the price of imidacloprid keeps high. Recently we sell imidacloprid mainly by export while domestic demand is small. July is still a peak season for imidacloprid and it is predicted that market price of imidacloprid may continue to rise on the condition that there is no new source of goods emerging and international procurement volume doesn't decrease.

Pesticide market depressed first and then boosted in the first half year. Influenced by lasting low temperature, the pesticide peak was postponed in the first quarter and the demand of insecticide and acaricide decreased. In the second quarter, pesticide market turns around and the price takes on a rising trend. Pesticide export increased substantially compared with that of the same period of last year and manufacturers had no inventory or had small inventory. It can be predicted that the demand of pesticide market will keep a strong momentum and is worth our expectations in the second half year. The current pesticide market situation is excellent, and there are three opportunities in the next half year.

To grasp the pesticide use opportunity, as it is an excellent time for domestic rice, maize, soybean and other crops to use pesticide in the next half year. Air temperature is higher and it rains much more than that of years before in most parts ofChina, which is very favorable for the reproduction of diseases and insects.

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